POLITICO Playbook PM: New poll: Voters oppose overturning Roe, back court reform- POLITICO – POLITICO

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A new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll taken after the Supreme Court’s landmark ruling on Friday overturning Roe v. Wade reveals an American public at odds with the court’s decision — and ready to embrace some major reforms of the judiciary.

The topline question: “Do you approve or disapprove of the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade and leave abortion policies in the U.S. up to the states?”

  • Strongly approve: 26%
  • Somewhat approve: 14%
  • Somewhat disapprove: 9%
  • Strongly disapprove: 40%
  • Don’t know/No opinion: 11%

More takeaways:

  • On whether abortion should be legal: 29% of voters said abortion should be legal in “all” cases and another 29% said it should be allowed in “most” cases. Meanwhile, 22% said it should be illegal in “most” cases and 12% said it should be outlawed in “all” cases. 
  • Asked how important it is for a candidate in the 2022 midterms to support abortion access: 43% said it is very important, 19% said it is somewhat important, while 10% and 19% said it’s not too important or not important at all.
  • On Dems’ desire to pass a law codifying Roe: 31% strongly support, 18% somewhat support, 7% somewhat oppose and 25% strongly oppose.
  • On some GOP calls for a nationwide abortion ban: 18% strongly support, 11% somewhat support, 10% somewhat oppose and 49% strongly oppose.

Now that the court has struck down Roe v. Wade, do you support or oppose the following proposals to reform SCOTUS …

  • Term limits for justices: 62% strongly or somewhat support; 23% strongly or somewhat oppose. Net support: +39
  • Expanding the number of justices on the court: 45% approve; 38% disapprove. Net: +7
  • Placing an age cap on justices: 60% support; 25% oppose. Net: +35
  • Binding justices to a code of ethics: 69% support; 15% oppose. Net: +54
  • Balancing the court with equal numbers of Democrats, Republicans and independents: 53% support; 30% oppose. Net: +23

See the toplines and crosstabs

MORE FROM SCOTUS — The Supreme Court continued its blitz of major June rulings this morning, as it races to wrap up the remaining cases on the docket before the justices close out this term. In total, the court cleared three cases today — and notably declined to hear another.

Here’s a roundup of today’s action:

— In a major opinion that touches on the separation of church and state, the justices “ruled in favor of a Washington state football coach who was suspended over his on-field prayers following games,” our colleagues Bianca Quilantan and Josh Gerstein write. “The justices’ decision, largely breaking 6-3 along the court’s usual ideological lines, found that the school system infringed on the coach’s religious freedom and freedom of speech rights by seeking to block him from engaging in public prayers on the field while flanked by student athletes after games.”

— In a case that news organizations across the country were watching closely, the court “declined to revisit the landmark First Amendment decision in New York Times v. Sullivan, a 1964 ruling that created a higher bar for public figures to claim libel,” CNN’s Ariane de Vogue writes. “Justice CLARENCE THOMAS dissented from the court’s refusal to take up the case. … Thomas and Justice NEIL GORSUCH had previously urged the justices to revisit the breadth of the decision — which established the requirement that public figures show ‘actual malice’ before they can succeed in a libel dispute against a newspaper or individual.”

— AP: “Supreme Court rules for inmates seeking reduced prison terms”

— CNN: “Supreme Court sides with doctors challenging their convictions in opioids ‘pill mill’ case”

What’s next, per Josh: “So, four cases remain at SCOTUS, including Biden effort to end Trump Remain-in-Mexico policy & major regulatory-law case involving EPA. No word yet on whether we get more decisions tomorrow or perhaps later in week.”

Good Monday afternoon. BTW: First lady JILL BIDEN is in Spain this week. She is not in Germany. We got that mixed up in this morning’s Playbook. We apologize for the error.

BIG MEDIA MOVE —NYT’s Benjamin Mullin scoops: “MSNBC has named ALEX WAGNER to succeed RACHEL MADDOW as the weekday host of its 9 p.m. hour four days a week, turning to a political news veteran to fill one of the network’s most important time slots. Ms. Wagner, 44, is a fixture of Washington journalism with roots in progressive news and opinion outlets. She worked for MSNBC as a host of a daytime show for several years, and rejoined the channel in February as a senior political analyst and guest-anchor during prime time, filling in for Ms. Maddow and CHRIS HAYES.”

ALL POLITICS

THE LATEST MIDTERM WARNING — If there already weren’t enough warning signs of a painful midterm season for the Democratic Party, here’s another big one: “More than 1 million voters across 43 states have switched to the Republican Party over the last year, according to voter registration data analyzed by The Associated Press,” Steve Peoples and Aaron Kessler write. “The previously unreported number reflects a phenomenon that is playing out in virtually every region of the country — Democratic and Republican states along with cities and small towns — in the period since President Joe Biden replaced former President DONALD TRUMP.”

Some more details: 

  • The breakdown: “Over the last year, roughly two-thirds of the 1.7 million voters who changed their party affiliation shifted to the Republican Party. In all, more than 1 million people became Republicans compared to about 630,000 who became Democrats.”
  • The context: “At least some of the newly registered Republicans are actually Democrats who crossed over to vote against Trump-backed candidates in GOP primaries. Such voters are likely to vote Democratic again this November. But the scope and breadth of the party switching suggests something much bigger at play.”
  • The shifting suburbs: “Republicans boosted their share of party changers in 168 of 235 suburban counties AP examined — 72 percent — over the last year, compared with the last years of the Trump era. These included suburban counties across Georgia, Iowa, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Texas, Ohio, Virginia and Washington state.”
  • The outlier state: “Only Virginia, which held off-year elections in 2021, saw Democrats notably trending up over the last year.”

ABORTION FALLOUT

WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE IS DOING — “Top Biden officials press insurers on contraceptive coverage,” by Sarah Owermohle

IN THEIR OWN WORDS —YESLI VEGA, the GOP candidate who is running against Rep. ABIGAIL SPANBERGER (D-Va.), “downplayed the possibility of becoming pregnant as a result of rape when asked about her stance on abortion at a campaign stop last month, according to audio obtained” by Axios’ Ned Oliver. What Vega said: “After expressing support for new state-level restrictions, she said, ‘The left will say, “Well what about in cases of rape or incest?” I’m a law enforcement officer. I became a police officer in 2011. I’ve worked one case where as a result of a rape, the young woman became pregnant.’

“Vega was then asked, ‘I’ve actually heard that it’s harder for a woman to get pregnant if she’s been raped. Have you heard that?’ Vega responded: ‘Well, maybe because there’s so much going on in the body. I don’t know. I haven’t, you know, seen any studies. But if I’m processing what you’re saying, it wouldn’t surprise me. Because it’s not something that’s happening organically.’ … Asked for comment on her remarks, which have not previously been reported, Vega told Axios in a statement, ‘I’m a mother of two, I’m fully aware of how women get pregnant.’” Audio clip Another audio clip

HARRIS TAKES THE LEAD — “Harris emerges as top abortion voice, warns of more fallout,” by AP’s Will Weissert

Speaking of … Harris will sit down with CNN’s Dana Bash today at 4 p.m. for her first exclusive interview since the Roe ruling.

CONGRESS

DEMS LOOK FOR ACTION AGAIN — “Democrats race to revive economic package as inflation spikes,” by WaPo’s Tony Romm: “With inflation high and a possible recession looming, party lawmakers are trying anew to resurrect talks with their lone holdout, Sen. JOE MANCHIN III of West Virginia.”

WAR IN UKRAINE

— “A Russian missile strike Monday on a shopping mall in central Ukraine killed at least two civilians and injured scores, according to Ukrainian officials,” WaPo’s Adam Taylor, David Stern and Isabelle Khurshudyan report.

— Speaking to the G-7 leaders, “Ukrainian President VOLODYMYR ZELENSKYY on Monday underscored the urgency of helping his country’s military improve its position against Russia in a video meeting with leading economic powers, who in turn pledged to support Ukraine ‘for as long as it takes,’” per AP’s Zeke Miller, Darlene Superville and Geir Moulson.

— On the world stage: “NATO will sharply increase the number of forces it keeps at a high readiness level to 300,000 in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine,” WaPo’s Emily Rauhala and Annabelle Timsit report from Brussels. “The move to beef up the alliance’s ability to respond to a crisis is part of the ‘biggest overhaul of our collective defense and deterrence since the Cold War,’ Secretary General JENS STOLTENBERG said Monday.”

AMERICA AND THE WORLD

WHEN THE CIRCLE IS TOO TIGHT —Ryan Heath writes that the “coziest club on the global summit circuit” has returned as G-7 leaders gathered in Germany this weekend, but the closed-off confab’s “inability to solve global problems is raising questions about whether G-7 leaders need to spend more time out of their democratic comfort zone.”

HEADS UP — “The U.S. special envoy for the Iran nuclear talks is headed to the Gulf state of Qatar on Monday for a resumption of indirect discussions with Tehran about ways to revive the agreement,” Nahal Toosi and Stephanie Liechtenstein report. Reality check: “The likelihood of a breakthrough is low, but these are the first such talks in months.

TRUMP CARDS

YOU CAN’T HANDLE THE TRUTH SOCIAL — The company behind Trump’s social media play is under new scrutiny, NYT’s Matthew Goldstein reports, as “the cash-rich shell company merging with Mr. Trump’s company disclosed in a regulatory filing that a federal grand jury in New York recently issued subpoenas to the company and its directors. … The disclosure by Digital World is the first indication that federal prosecutors in Manhattan have joined in the scrutiny of the merger between Digital World and Trump Media, which has been under investigation by financial regulators for months.”

POLICY CORNER

NOT WHAT UNCLE SAM WANTS — “Every branch of the U.S. military is struggling to make its 2022 recruiting goals, officials say,” by NBC’s Courtney Kube and Molly Boigon

PLAYBOOKERS

HOT JOB, via Daybook: senior political director at Planned Parenthood.

FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — Amanda Farnan is now press secretary for the Partnership for Public Service. She most recently was comms director for D.C. Councilmember Christina Henderson, and is a POLITICO alum.

MEDIA MOVES — Chris Suellentrop is joining WaPo Opinions as politics editor. He previously was editor of POLITICO Nightly and a senior editor for POLITICO Mag. The announcement Emily Birnbaum is joining Bloomberg to cover tech lobbying and influence. She currently is a tech lobbying and influence reporter for POLITICO. … Marcia Brown is joining POLITICO’s agriculture team. She previously covered agriculture and market concentration at The Capitol Forum.

TRANSITIONS — Bill Guidera is now head of public affairs at Clear. He previously was director of federal and state public affairs at Netflix. … Tate O’Connor is now comms director for Rep. Jason Smith (R-Mo.). He most recently was press secretary for Sen. Roy Blunt (R-Mo.).

ENGAGED —Nick Tomaino, an assistant editorial features editor at the WSJ, proposed to Maddy Kearns, a staff writer at National Review, on Sunday at the shrine to St. Joseph at St. Vincent Ferrer Roman Catholic Church in Manhattan (after the 9:30 a.m. Mass). The couple met when Nick edited Maddy at NR. Pic

WEEKEND WEDDINGS — Jim Mattis, the former Defense secretary and retired four-star general, and Christina Lomasney, a physicist, got married Saturday. The couple had one ceremony last week on the banks of the Columbia River with a priest and one Saturday in Vegas with an Elvis impersonator at the Little Church of the West. Not surprising for a Marine, the couple met in a bar. Retired Gen. Robert Harward was the best man, and the reception for friends and family was at The Palazzo at Rosina. Pic Another pic

— Brian Reisinger, president and COO of Platform Communications and a Ron Johnson and Scott Walker alum, and Rachael Vasquez, producer/reporter at Wisconsin Public Radio, got married Saturday at the historic Firehouse restaurant in Sacramento, Calif. The couple met at the Harmony Bar in Madison, Wis., after talking online. Pic

— Greg Honan, comms director at With Honor Action and a Belfer Center alum, and Emily Roseman, research director and editor at the Institute for Nonprofit News, got married Saturday at the Barn at Bradstreet Farm in Rowley, Mass. Megan Corrigan officiated. Pic Another pic SPOTTED: David and Anne Gergen, Meghan O’Sullivan, Karim Farishta, Lucy Moore, Amy Howell, Tim Bishop and Kevin Lownds.

BONUS BIRTHDAY: Sahar Hafeez of the NSC

Source Article from https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook-pm/2022/06/27/new-poll-voters-oppose-overturning-roe-back-court-reform-00042585

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